03 January 2017
As of 26 December 2016, the oil and gas dispute between Belarus and Russia remains unresolved.
Moreover, Russia persistently rejects any tradeoffs: this deprives Belarus of a substantial part its foreign exchange earnings from petroleum product sales, thus aggravating the economic recession in Belarus.
In turn, the growth of state debt points to the formation of stable insolvency...
23 September 2016
The results of the parliamentary elections on 11 September surprised many in Belarus. Few believed that Lukashenka’s regime would allow independent deputies in parliament, but these elections have shown that the Belarusian authorities are at least willing to appear to change.
Although this does provide optimism, Belarus and the West still need to create a new agenda to ensure that...
08 August 2016
On 19 July 2016 the National Statistic Committee of Belarus (Belstat) has announced the macroeconomic results of the first half of the year. The figures disappoint – economic growth still in the red zone.
Moreover, the Eurasian Development Bank has warned that the Republican budget requires additional cuts in order to sustain the acceptable level of state debt.
30 May 2016
On 6 May 2016 the Chairman of the Board of the National Bank of Belarus (NBB) Pavel Kallaur disclosed the long-suspected information about problems in the banking system.
Two weeks later, the Prime Minister Andrei Kobyakov has called for market-based instruments in order to cure sinking state-owned enterprises (SOEs).
And оn 22 May 2016 the Minister of Finance Vladimir Amarin has...
03 May 2016
On 29 March 2016 Prime Minister Andrei Kobyakov proclaimed the government's intention to speed up the long-awaited process of joining the WTO.
Moreover, after renegotiating different scenarios for pension reform in Belarus, the authorities have agreed to an increase in the retirement age for men and women.
Meanwhile, оn 21 April 2016 President Alexander Lukashenka announced...
- 27 April 2016
31 March 2016
On 28 March 2016 the Council of the Eurasian Fund for Stabilisation and Development (EFSD) approved the provision of a new loan to Belarus.
In the meantime, the export and real estate market established new numbers of their record fall, questioning the limits of slowdown in Belarus.
In such a situation the government tries to secure state financial support – President...
29 February 2016
On 16 February 2016, President Alexander Lukashenka announced zero tolerance for structural reforms being proposed by the government.
Meanwhile, since the beginning of 2015 state debt has increased by more than half and real wages in dollar equivalent have fallen to a ten year low.
Belarus's government is still trying to find a simple way out of the crisis by releasing new...
11 February 2016
The drop in oil prices in the first two weeks of January and the resulting volatility of the Belarusian rouble have taken centre stage.
The Belarusian government took some small steps towards reforms, but took no serious measures to reform the state-owned sector of the economy.
Instead, it continued to pump money into inefficient enterprises to keep them afloat. Meanwhile, trust...
09 February 2016
No economic reforms will be carried out in Belarus, Alexander Lukashenka announced in his 26 January address to the government.
This was the fourth time since the October 2015 presidential election that the President confirm his desire to keep the existing state-dominated economic system.
Lukashenka's statements suggest an ongoing struggle within the political elite over the...
27 November 2015
On 20 November 2015 Belstat, the official statistical body, released the updated macro-economic statistics. Disappointing figures on exports and manufacturing suggest that the economic downturn in Belarus continues.
However, on 11 November 2015 the National Bank of Belarus announced reforms on the deposit market. The bank tries to replenish the deposit’s term structure hoping that...
15 September 2015
On 11 September candidates for Belarusian president officially started their campaigns. From the previous presidential campaign slogan “For independent, strong and prosperous Belarus”, Lukashenka left only “independent”.
In order to buy voters in 2010, Lukashenka embarked on excessive wage growth in the public sector, while exploiting international reserves to...